Thursday, February 29, 2024

Opening 2025 Super Bowl Odds Favor 49ers, Chiefs & Ravens

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The 49ers are the +500 favorites in the 2025 Super Bowl opening odds.

Feb 11, 2024; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) is tackled by San Francisco 49ers defensive end Arik Armstead (91), defensive end Nick Bosa (97) and cornerback Deommodore Lenoir (2) in the second half in Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

  • The San Francisco 49ers are the +500 favorites in the 2025 Super Bowl opening odds
  • You can get second betting choice odds of +750 on the two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs
  • No NFL team has ever won three consecutive Super Bowls

Can the Kansas City Chiefs make Super Bowl history? Not according to the people assigned the task of setting the 2025 Super Bowl odds.

And it’s the team that they just beat who are favored to rebound and win the big game.

After winning a second straight Super Bowl via their 25-22 overtime triumph over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58, the Chiefs are set as the +750 second betting choice in the opening 2025 Super Bowl odds.

However, it’s the 49ers who are set as the +500 chalk to win the big game next season. But to do so, San Francisco will need to defy a long-running drought involving NFC clubs. No NFC team has come back to win the Super Bowl the year after losing the big game since the Dallas Cowboys in 1971.

By beating San Francisco, Kansas City became the eighth team in NFL history to win consecutive Super Bowls. The Chiefs are poised to become one of the greatest Super Bowl dynasties. They’ve played in four of the past five big games.

No squad has ever won the big game three years in a row. In fact, just two teams – the Miami Dolphins (1971-73) and Buffalo Bills (1991-94) – have managed to play in three or more successive Super Bowl games.

2025 NFL Super Bowl Odds

Team Odds
San Francisco 49ers +500
Kansas City Chiefs +750
Baltimore Ravens +900
Buffalo Bills +1000
Detroit Lions +1200
Cincinnati Bengals +1400
Dallas Cowboys +1600
Philadelphia Eagles +1800
Miami Dolphins +2000
Green Bay Packers +2200
Houston Texans +2200
New York Jets +2800
Jacksonville Jaguars +2800
Los Angeles Chargers +2800
Los Angeles Rams +3300
Atlanta Falcons +4000
Chicago Bears +4000
Cleveland Browns +4000
Indianapolis Colts +5000
Minnesota Vikings +5000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6600
Seattle Seahawks +6600
New Orleans Saints +7500
Arizona Cardinals +7500
Pittsburgh Steelers +8000
Las Vegas Raiders +8000
Denver Broncos +10000
New York Giants +12500
Washington Commanders +12500
New England Patriots +15000
Tennessee Titans +15000
Carolina Panthers +25000

Beyond the 49ers and the Chiefs at +750, the third-favorites are the Baltimore Ravens, who are priced at +900. Baltimore is just ahead of the Buffalo Bills at +1000. Then you get two NFC teams

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Super Bowl Betting Trends

Recent Super Bowl history suggests that champions rarely come out of nowhere. There’s generally a recent run of success involving a Super Bowl championship squad.

Among the past 12 winners of the big game, 10 were involved in postseason play in the year prior to their Super Bowl win. Six of those clubs were in the conference championship game in the season before their Super Bowl win.

Just two teams – the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2021) and Philadelphia Eagles (2018) – won the big game the season following a playoff absence.

49ers Again the Team to Beat

San Francisco was the chalk to win Super Bowl 58 through the playoffs, but came up short.

With the same two teams set with the shortest odds, could a Super Bowl rematch be in the works? Probably not.

While there have been eight Super Bowl rematches in the history of the game, including the 49ers and Chiefs (2020, 2024), it’s never happened in back-to-back seasons.

Oddsmakers Still Backing Bills

The Buffalo Bills continue to be the team that can always find a way not to win the Super Bowl. Yet in the Super Bowl odds, the Bills are yet again a top contender to win it all.

With talent like QB Josh Allen and WR Stefon Diggs, on the one hand, that love for the Bills is entirely understandable. But this is a group that has yet to show it can get over the hump and even find a way into the big game.

Buffalo hasn’t played in a Super Bowl game since 1994. The Bills and Minnesota Vikings, both 0-4, share the NFL record for most Super Bowl appearances without ever posting a victory.

Lions Not Getting Their Share

Head coach Dan Campbell has already told his team that they are winning the 2025 Super Bowl. Evidently, the people who set the odds didn’t get the memo.

At a betting line of +1200, the reigning NFC North champion Lions are the fifth betting choice to win it all next season. Detroit blew a 24-7 halftime lead and lost 34-31 at San Francisco in the NFC Championship Game. The Lions have never made it to a Super Bowl game in franchise history and haven’t won an NFL title since 1957.

Surprising Prices On Some 2023 Playoff Teams

The Green Bay Packers and Houston Texans were two of the surprise teams in the second half of the season as they made runs to secure playoff spots. But it hasn’t generated much love for either team in Super Bowl betting lines. You can access +2200 odds on both teams winning the big game in 2025.

Likewise, the Los Angeles Rams, another second-half success story of the season past, are opening with odds of +2800. That’s the same number being offered on the perennially woeful New York Jets and the ever underachieving Los Angeles Chargers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6600) and Pittsburgh Steelers (+8000) are other 2023 playoff teams not being given much hope.

2025 Super Bowl Winner Pick:  Kansas City Chiefs (+750)

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